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94 Morning Report: January 22nd, 2024

Your daily newsletter for game recaps, the latest stats and advanced analytics in hockey.

Results from January 21st, 2024

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Results from Feburary 6th, 2023
Home Away Score Matchup Probability
Philadelphia Flyers Ottawa Senators 3:5 72.2% : 27.8%
Carolina Hurricanes Minnesota Wild 2:5 65.9% : 34.1%
Detroit Red Wings Tampa Bay Lightning 2:1 45.3% : 54.7%
New York Islanders Dallas Stars 3:2 (OT) 36.5% : 63.5%
Anaheim Ducks New York Rangers 2:5 31.6% : 68.4%
Seattle Kraken Toronto Maple Leafs 1:3 56.1% : 43.9%

Last Night Highlights

  • Kirill Kaprizov scored a hat trick, his first this season, in the Wild’s 5-2 upset win in Carolina (34.1% win probability).
    • Filip Gustavsson saved 40 of 42 shots and the Hurricanes had 65 unblocked shot attempts to Minnesota’s 28.
  • Auston Matthews scored his 38th goal in the Leafs’ 3-1 win in Seattle, his 9th goal in the last 10 games.
    • Matthews is scoring at a high rate, but hasn’t increased his shooting. In the last 5 games, he’s decreased his Shot Attempts per Game by 0.07, Unblocked Shot Attempts per Game by 0.02 and his Shots on Goal have increased 0.04.
  • Tim Sutzle scored his 9th and 10th goals (and 43rd point) in an upset win from the Senators over the Flyers (27.8% win probability).
  • The Islanders win in overtime and stay 2 points away from a Wild Card Spot as Patrick Roy makes his Isles coaching debut.
    • Bo Horvat’s 19th goal of the season was the OT winner and his Points/60 is now up to 2.95.
    • The Islanders were outshot 28-42 on target and 48 to 81 in overall attempts.

ICYMI: Do More Shots Lead to More Wins?

Who’s on Fire

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Top 5 Teams
Team Project 94 Rating 5 Game Trend 5 Game Win%
Edmonton Oilers 728.493 +36.993 100% 🔥🔥
Winnipeg Jets 707.053 -1.954 80.0% 🔥
Vancouver Canucks 686.826 +4.941 80.0% 🔥
Colorado Avalanche 666.905 -14.283 60.0%
Boston Bruins 646.079 +60.187 80.0% 🔥
Team Ranking Previous Ranking

Tonight’s Matchups

Home Team Home Win Probability Away Team Away Win Probability
Boston Bruins 44.4% Winnipeg Jets 55.6%
New Jersey Devils 44.8% Vegas Golden Knights 55.2%
Nashville Predators 51.2% Florida Panthers 48.8%
Arizona Coyotes 53.0% Pittsburgh Penguins 47.0%
Vancouver Canucks 83.3% Chicago Blackhawks 16.7%
Los Angeles Kings 70.8% San Jose Sharks 29.2%

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